Stratgy in football betting

football-strategy

Assuming you have at least three outs - and when you get different numbers you always play at the best number available. You start with a bankroll every season for betting and totals with your own picks consisting of 20 units with each unit being 1/20th of the bankroll. So if your bankroll is $1000, you have $50 units.

STEP ONE

Handicap the games of the coming week to the best of your ability by determine the winner and by how much. Choose a college conference that interests you and follow it closely. See the weather and check out the teams before actually looking at the lines. This is because the line is only an estimate not an attempt to predict the result.

STEP TWO

Find out about the lines from newspaper, Internet, television etc. and make a note of the discrepancies between the handicaps you've assigned and the lines.

SIDES

NFL, Bowl games, and games between two top-25 College teams: Bet one unit on any game where your handicap disagrees with the line by at least three points and place the bet to your advantage. Bet two units if your number is different from the line by a touchdown or more but ensure you know what you are doing.

College games not in the above category

Bet one unit on a 6-or-more point discrepancy if the published line is below 20 points. Bet two units on a 10.5 point or more discrepancy if the published line is less than 20 points. If the line is more than 20 points, the system only allows for a one-unit bet, and it should only be placed if the difference between your handicap and your best price is 7.5 points or more.

TOTALS

Playing fewer totals with fewer college games. Play one unit on any total when the handicap differs from the total line by seven points or more. This will help to average one total play a week.

STEP THREE

Most of the plays should be made early in the week so that you can try to be the first to capitalize on what is considered to be line-makers' mistakes from a handicapper's point of view. Also check the lines at least once daily and a couple times on Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL) morning. Watch what lines are moving, and try to determine why the lines are jumping. If the reasons seem valid adjust your handicap and make yourself a new number. If the reasons seem invalid you can make a bet where you were unable to before.